Betting Lines for Week 4

If you thought Week 2 was bad, Week 3 was really, really bad. But the only way from here is up. After last week I really thought that I would be quitting this blog, there was no hope and a waste of time (Well, most of that was me being in the dumps in my betting account). But you win some and you lose some and if you bet with me you were 0-5, but that is just as impressive as 5-0. This is the week we get out of our 8-15 hole. So here are 8 picks for Saturday, to get back to the above.500 club, still in the negative, but above .500

As always, this post if brought to you by Bovada. Your premier online betting platform.

Friday

#16 UCF vs. FAU

Line: UCF -13.5, O/U 76

UCF has a a 15 game record of scoring more than 30 points a game and has averaged 48 points a game in that stretch. FAU has scored more than 30 points in 12 of its last 13 games. Lane Kiffin has been talking smack for the last three weeks before this game. In the game that should be a rivalry but really isn’t, hammer the over. Pick: Over 76

Saturday

#19 Michigan vs. Nebraska

Line: Michigan -17.5, O/U 50

The problem for Nebraska lies in its injured freshman QB Adrian Martinez. With Michigan’s punter pinning teams back far this year, Nebraska will need to move the ball well, which just won’t happen. Shea Patterson will continue to roll and the Michigan defense will force the Nebraska offense into a tight spot. Michigan runs away with this game. Pick: Michigan -17.5

#8 Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest

Line: Notre Dame -7.5, O/U 60

Notre Dame has looked solid this year, but Wake Forest has always put up a fight. This will be a defensive battle and a very close game. Notre Dame has yet to blow up the offensive stat sheet and has struggled against weaker teams, but this is when Irish turn it around. Pick: Notre Dame -7.5

Kansas vs. Baylor

Line: Baylor -7.5, O/U 56

Kansas owns the turnover margin this year, but their two wins have been against Rutgers and Central Michigan. Kansas should continue to do that against Baylor. But Baylor is much better that the teams Kansas has beat and I am not fully buying into Kansas this year. Baylor is a run first team and they will keep doing that. Baylor covers. Pick: Baylor -7.5

Buffalo vs. Rutgers

Line: Buffalo -5.5, O/U 52

Rutgers STINKS. Rutgers offense doesn’t have big play ability and gave Kansas their biggest win last week. Buffalo has a very good MAC QB, Tyree Jackson, who has 12 TDs and 1 INT on the season. Best stat is that Buffalo has yet to give up a sack. Also Never pick Rutgers to cover. Ever. Pick: Buffalo -5.5

Florida State vs. Northern Illinois

Line: FSU -10, O/U 45

This is two bad offenses going at each other. If this was Jimbo Fisher’s team, FSU rolls, but WIllie Taggart has completely lost  control of the team. The Seminoles are still a blue blood program that will have no problem against a MAC team that is having a down year. NIU can’t throw, they can’t run the ball and they can barely play defense. FSU is bad, but they still have talent on the team. Willie may suck at coaching, but FSU win easy. Pick: FSU -10

#18 Wisconsin vs. Iowa

Line: Wisconsin -3, O/U 43

I will be actually at this game with a bunch of Wisconsin fans. So I really have to pick this game for my own sanity. Wisconsin was humbled by their loss to BYU last week. This is a night game with a lot on the line for both teams. Iowa will be competitive as they have always been at Kinnick night games, but will it be spooky enough to win? I really don’t think so. Winsonsin is still the better team, and now they are angry. Pick: Wisconsin -3

Arizona State vs. #11 Washington

Line: Washington -17.5, O/U 51

Pack12AfterDark baby. 10:30 PM start after a stunning Wisconsin vs. Iowa matchup is all I can ask for. The Sun Devils are a very good team and the Herm is very firm. Washington has not been as explosive as last year, but they have been a very solid team. The Huskies defense isn’t the best and ASU should be able to continue airing it out in Seattle. Washington however has the x-factor in Jake Browning and that will be the reason Washington wins, but the 17.5 line is too large for a Pac-12 matchup. Pick: ASU +17.5

Note: Lines may have changed. These picks were made at 7:30 PM CT on 9/20/2018.